(Au)our Insights

20
Aug

Often Wrong, Never in Doubt: The Siren Song of Alternatives

Danny Deutsch’s motto and the title of his book, Often Wrong, Never in Doubt, are about the power of confidence and moving forward even when it results in as many misses as hits. It worked for him. It doesn’t work in investing, which relies on...
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22
Jun

Value is the Product

“It takes a long time to become young.”                                                 – Pablo Picasso The team at Auour has been enjoying reading Value as a Service, by Rob Bernshteyn, the CEO of Coupa, a rapidly growing software company. Its premise is that companies need to move from selling products to...
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24
May

Emerging Problems

Emerging Problems “I think we can’t learn clear lessons from history. What we can learn is to watch out for dangerous possibilities.” – Margaret MacMillan At Auour, we analyze many independent factors to assess greed and fear and the inherent risk in the global markets....
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29
Mar

Implications of a Bursting Bond Bubble

Some may think of us as bubble detectors. We choose to see ourselves, instead, as risk managers. They might be different sides of the same coin: We look across the global markets to gauge to what degree they are being moved by greed or fear,...
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18
Feb

A Discussion of the February 2018 Volatility Spike

Last Friday, we hosted Colin Ireland, Senior Research Strategist of State Street Global Advisors, to discuss his observations of the volatility experienced by global markets at the beginning of February. [download id=”2881″]
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06
Feb

An Update from Auour

The last week has been a very quick reversal of a nearly 14-month upswing in the global markets. Yesterday, in particular, was a wake-up call that markets are not always tame and conducive to making money. We offer below some answers to questions we have...
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15
Jan

Auour 2018 Outlook

A year ago, we wrote that all we wanted for Christmas was a bull market.  Thank you, Santa!  We thought we had been good but never thought we were that good. The 4th quarter continued the trend that existed all year with markets ending on...
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22
Dec

Mind the Gap

This is a phrase we heard a lot on our last visit to London. Though repeated as the subway doors open, it brings other ideas to us. Specifically, the gap between the expectations of some investors and what turns out to be the reality. All...
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21
Nov

The Largest Game of Jenga Ever

We like games, but not all games. Some make us tense such as the Hasbro game named Operation. As a child growing up in a warm and nurturing environment, hearing the BUZZ as you touched the side not only scared you, but risked driving you...
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24
Oct

Waiting for the Next Domino to Fall

The Quarter in Review The quote used in our 1st quarter report was “It is best to rise from life as from a banquet, neither thirsty nor drunken.”  We have been investing in accordance with that quote and maintaining a near fully invested stance yet...
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