(Au)our Insights

21
Nov

The Largest Game of Jenga Ever

We like games, but not all games. Some make us tense such as the Hasbro game named Operation. As a child growing up in a warm and nurturing environment, hearing the BUZZ as you touched the side not only scared you, but risked driving you...
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24
Oct

Waiting for the Next Domino to Fall

The Quarter in Review The quote used in our 1st quarter report was “It is best to rise from life as from a banquet, neither thirsty nor drunken.”  We have been investing in accordance with that quote and maintaining a near fully invested stance yet...
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19
Sep

Waiting for a Market Correction Can Be Difficult

We are strong believers in Peter Lynch’s quote, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections than has been lost in corrections themselves.” Because fearmongering market pundits profess that a correction is always near, we, therefore, continue...
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23
May

Weiwai(ting) for the Bubble to Pop

We are ones to look both ways even when crossing a one-way street.  It is ingrained in us to watch for the unexpected. We’re believers in the saying, “It’s the punch you do not see that knocks you out.” Although we stand in a near...
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17
Mar

Confirming Valuation Risk

“Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one’s preexisting beliefs or hypotheses while giving disproportionately less consideration to alternative possibilities.” – Wikipedia The S&P 500 index, a proxy for the US equity market, has...
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18
Feb

Exploiting Ignored Opportunity

One who deceives will always find those who allow themselves to be deceived.   – Niccolo Machiavelli With the heightened focus on world politics, it comes as no surprise that The Prince by Niccolo Machiavelli is seeing a material increase in book sales.  We have spent...
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16
Dec

All I want for Christmas is a Bull Market

We founded Auour Investments in early 2013 and spent the spring and summer building the Auour Regime Model and constructing the investment processes underlying our strategies.  In the fall of 2013, we launched the first of the Instinct family of dynamic core strategies: Global Fixed...
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16
Nov

The Unraveling of Experiments

For the past 16 years, the world’s population has been living in a test tube.  Various experiments have been run on us.  Though they were pitched as advancements and were instituted with the best of intentions, the experiments proved themselves to be scientific procedures undertaken...
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28
Oct

New Whitepaper: Regime Based Investing

Regime Based Investing is the next generation of modern money management, leveraging an increased understanding of market psychology and investor behavior.  This paper describes the idea and various implementation methods used to protect capital from times of market duress without sacrificing upside participation.
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17
Sep

An Eye to the Future

We have expressed our concerns with the bond markets, specifically the negative rates being experienced around the globe as central banks attempt to boost economic activity through low rates.  These actions have taken a toll on the increasing number of retirees that had depended on...
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